Political Risk Networking Group

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Political Risk Networking Group

A forum for political risk professionals

Location: Washington, D.C.
Members: 30
Latest Activity: Jun 22, 2013

Discussion Forum

Starting a Career in Political Risk Analysis

Started by Milena Rodban. Last reply by João Gonçalves Oct 26, 2012. 5 Replies

How did you start your career in political risk analysis? What would you recommend to someone interested in starting a political risk analysis firm? 

Implications of recent uprisings for the political risk field

Started by Milena Rodban. Last reply by Tony Ridley Feb 7, 2011. 2 Replies

Any thoughts on what this string of uprisings will do for the field? Do you think political risk analysis will start to get more popular as a result of the effect of political unrest in these…Continue

A Skeptical Attitude towards Political Risk Analysis

Started by Milena Rodban. Last reply by Sylver Kyeyune Oct 2, 2010. 3 Replies

I've recently spoken to several people who believe that the focus on political risk analysis is overblown and that the field is not as seriously regarded as other types of risk analysis.…Continue

POLITICAL RISK MEASUREMENT

Started by Sylver Kyeyune Oct 2, 2010. 0 Replies

I realize political risk is the most subjective risk type as far as measurement is concerned. What would be the key variables in measurement. How about the key monitoring indicators?Continue

Comment Wall

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Comment by Milena Rodban on September 29, 2010 at 5:29pm
The most comprehensive discussion on political risk analysis that I've found is Ian Bremmer and Preston Keat's book, The Fat Tail. I think the authors do a great job of discussing how political risk is different from other types of risk. I recently reviewed the book on my blog: http://thecosmopolitanintellectual.wordpress.com/
Comment by Sylver Kyeyune on September 29, 2010 at 3:34pm
Dear Edward,

Am a Risk Analyst as well working in a financial institution for which we share scope in the profession. Am however keen on this key but sometimes abandoned area. I have done several readings by various political analysts but i tend to relate more with one given by Howell, 2001 as ' the Possibility that political decisions or political or social events in a country will affect the business climate in such a way that investors will lose money or not make as much money as they expected when the investment was made

'It's a Sub component of country risk which incorporates two other sub categories including economic and financial risk'
Comment by Edward Paules on July 25, 2010 at 6:38pm
All:

I am a financial risk manager and former chief risk officer of regional banks. I notice that many talk about regulatory or political risk, and I am interested in anyone who would care to share a definition of political risk. I will start by defining political risk as the risk the enforcement of existing rules and regulations changes such that existing business decisions, strategies, and contracts no longer meet business objectives. Based on my definition, the laws and regulations do not have to change, as I suspect actual legislation and regulatory change is a lagging indicator.

I would be interested in hearing from anyone who has studied or can cite good references for a definition of regulatory cycle.
 

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