markov - Blog - Global Risk Community2024-03-29T13:50:38Zhttps://globalriskcommunity.com/profiles/blogs/feed/tag/markovThe Risk Clockhttps://globalriskcommunity.com/profiles/blogs/the-risk-clock2012-10-23T11:29:30.000Z2012-10-23T11:29:30.000ZMartin Davieshttps://globalriskcommunity.com/members/MartinDavies92<div><p><span style="font-family:arial, helvetica, sans-serif;" class="font-size-2">Some risks are cyclical in nature which can be modeled on a risk clock.</span></p><p><span style="font-family:arial, helvetica, sans-serif;" class="font-size-2"><a href="http://causalcapital.blogspot.sg/2012/10/the-risk-clock.html" target="_blank"><img src="{{#staticFileLink}}8028220889,original{{/staticFileLink}}" width="303" class="align-center" alt="8028220889?profile=original" /></a></span></p><p><span style="font-family:arial, helvetica, sans-serif;" class="font-size-2">In this blog we build up a risk clock and look at why businesses are not good at forecasting cyclical risk events.</span></p><p><span style="font-family:arial, helvetica, sans-serif;" class="font-size-2"><a href="http://causalcapital.blogspot.sg/2012/10/the-risk-clock.html" target="_blank">Click here to continue reading</a></span></p></div>What's the next leap of development for operational risk?https://globalriskcommunity.com/profiles/blogs/what-s-the-next-leap-of-development-for-operational-risk2012-09-25T05:30:00.000Z2012-09-25T05:30:00.000ZMartin Davieshttps://globalriskcommunity.com/members/MartinDavies92<div><div><span style="font-family:arial, helvetica, sans-serif;">The world of risk management is continually evolving but where is the next developmental phase for the practice of risk theory?</span></div><div><span style="font-family:arial, helvetica, sans-serif;"> </span></div><div><span style="font-family:arial, helvetica, sans-serif;">In my opinion, one area which offers great opportunity is the relatively undiscovered work around event predictability. Let's be real of course, there is no way to predict the future but it might nice to understand the shape of that future.</span></div><div><span style="font-family:arial, helvetica, sans-serif;"> </span></div><div><span style="font-family:arial, helvetica, sans-serif;">In this blog, we review the use of the Extensible Markov Model for shaping event clusters.</span></div><div><span style="font-family:arial, helvetica, sans-serif;"> </span></div><div><span style="font-family:arial, helvetica, sans-serif;">To continue reading : <span style="color:#0000ff;"><a href="http://causalcapital.blogspot.sg/2012/09/cluster-events.html" target="_blank"><span style="color:#0000ff;">Continue reading link here</span></a></span></span><span style="font-family:arial, helvetica, sans-serif;" class="font-size-2"><br /></span></div></div>