I am seeking assistance in understanding how the changes over the last few years in global weather patters are being taken into account in risk assessments, BCP and ultimately the invocation of DR plans. Historically many organisations have relied on a plan where shared facilities are provided on a first come first served basis. Much of the reasoning for this is based on cost and the risk assessment of the plan being invoked at the same time as others. Have the changes in weather patters challenged this approach and have invocations failed because more organisations are invoking at the same time?
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ok in theory this is correct way: one pubblic authority that controls and checks the land and her use
but in the real situation (in any part of the world) is very different because often parties have (or represent) many interests of local lobby and this interests are against natural risk (or they accept this risk for very long time scales)
in brief the management of territory is out control of experts or technicians
so all studies or maps are completely useless (or worse disputed)
re-regards
ok i understand your point of view,
but my valuation is different because
(although, also i saw this trend of rain, drought and vulnerability of land and infrastructures),
i not saw/knew many model able to analyze complex scenarios (es of Fukushima, JP): and all this will be very interesting in next years..
regards
I believe that weather-wise risk mitigation is incumbent upon the municipalities who manage and often promote the headlong development of land which is clearly prone to natural disaster. Laws should reflect such local and federal government responsibility and not circumvent them, and the public should accept rather than work to defeat such protections. We have worked within 100-year flood plans, but now see such events every few years. Time for an overhaul of public risk management with an eye on these recent mega weather events.
Really the only thing the man does not dominate it´s the weader , to day. In recent times, the variation from statistical data and historical sequences, making it very difficult to have changed his move to price and risk assessment. A clear example is the last hurricane to New York lelga sultimas or floods in Malaga Spain, where drought plays there.
the current trend is located in extreme heavy rain soon followed by a prolonged drought time in the same year, with the difficulties of this for the normal development of agricultural projects, construction, etc..
Eventually being valued as idle periods or low efficiency in both cases.
I hope something has clarified
I don't believe that the present state of knowledge we can make predictions about the changes taking place, but only on the fact that they are started;
also because scientifically you ignore all the natural events with return periods of centuries or millennia (simply because there are no data)
then, as he told William Shakespeare
There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, Than are Dreamed of in your philosophy.
regards
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