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Any thoughts on what this string of uprisings will do for the field? Do you think political risk analysis will start to get more popular as a result of the effect of political unrest in these countries?
Read more…I realize political risk is the most subjective risk type as far as measurement is concerned. What would be the key variables in measurement. How about the key monitoring indicators?
Read more…I've recently spoken to several people who believe that the focus on political risk analysis is overblown and that the field is not as seriously regarded as other types of risk analysis. Specifically, one person told me that he doesn't believe Wall Street will ever pay for this type of subjective analysis. Have any of you encountered such skepticism? Do you believe that political risk professionals need to work harder to legitimize the field or are these skeptical opinions in the minority?
Read more…How did you start your career in political risk analysis? What would you recommend to someone interested in starting a political risk analysis firm?
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Am a Risk Analyst as well working in a financial institution for which we share scope in the profession. Am however keen on this key but sometimes abandoned area. I have done several readings by various political analysts but i tend to relate more with one given by Howell, 2001 as ' the Possibility that political decisions or political or social events in a country will affect the business climate in such a way that investors will lose money or not make as much money as they expected when the investment was made
'It's a Sub component of country risk which incorporates two other sub categories including economic and financial risk'
I am a financial risk manager and former chief risk officer of regional banks. I notice that many talk about regulatory or political risk, and I am interested in anyone who would care to share a definition of political risk. I will start by defining political risk as the risk the enforcement of existing rules and regulations changes such that existing business decisions, strategies, and contracts no longer meet business objectives. Based on my definition, the laws and regulations do not have to change, as I suspect actual legislation and regulatory change is a lagging indicator.
I would be interested in hearing from anyone who has studied or can cite good references for a definition of regulatory cycle.