- Activate and exercise practical and critical risk-based thinking skills- Develop effective and useful risk models in support of decision analysis- Build object-oriented spreadsheet models that operationalize complex variables in business and enterprise- Apply distributions, activate simulation, optimize project results, model correlations and apply forecasting- Engage in real-time commercial discussions with active risk modeler and decision analystDates: Oct 27-28, 2010Risk Modeling and Decision Analysis is a Vair Training Master Class and focuses on risk management for virtually any industry and its related modeling issues. This course covers the basic principles of quantitative-risk analysis and the most important risk modeling principles, methods and techniques. The focus of the workshop is how to conduct accurate and effective quantitative-risk analyses, including best practices of risk modeling, selecting appropriate distributions, using data and expert opinion, and avoiding common mistakes. The course covers assessment of uncertainty, simulation, time-series forecasting, optimization, correlation, eliciting and modeling expert estimates, and communicating riskanalysis results. The training enables participants to produce realistic, high quality corporate finance risk-analysis models in a manner that provides decision makers with the clearest and most helpful input. In addition, the course covers essential probability and statistics theory and various stochastic processes in order to provide course participants with a solid understanding of quantitative risk-analysis methods and techniques.Outine:Part 1 Introduction to Risk AnalysisPart 2 Introduction to Statistical DescriptorsPart 3 Introduction to Probability TheoryPart 4 Introduction to Risk ModelingPart 5 Stochastic Processes - the basis of risk analysisPart 6 Hypergeometric ProcessPart 7 Practical Problems to SolvePart 8 Best Practices in Risk ModelingPart 9 Example Risk AnalysesPart 10 Wrap-up and review of course materialMore InformationPlease visit our website for a detailed syllabus and registration information http://vaircompanies.comContact UsToll Free: +1 866 410 VAIR (8247) within the United States & CanadaInternational: +1 770 853 0362E-mail: info@vaircompanies.com

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