B.R. Deshpande
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  • Novi, MI
  • United States
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Is China the next bubble? How fragile is the global economy today? FREE Webinar

Started Jul 7, 2010 0 Replies

The Great Recession of 2008 has been a real eye opener. These days everyone talks about the "complexity" or "interconnectedness" of the global economy. More recently we have had Greece to further…Continue


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Communicate the urgency of the need for complexity management to risk managers

B.R. Deshpande's Blog

Comparing complexity management to traditional risk management

Posted on October 4, 2010 at 8:42pm 1 Comment

What exactly is complexity management? Why should businesses care about it? How does it compare with risk management that is currently practiced? These are some of the questions we explore in the set of 2 articles below. A third article which is a sort of a recipe for complexity management is currently "in-press" and will be following shortly.

Comments from experts and practitioners most welcome.…


The terrible troika - Uncertainty, Risk and Complexity

Posted on September 14, 2010 at 8:43pm 0 Comments

Risk management approach depends upon who you talk to - project managers have a different view from financial analysts who have a different approach from actuarties and so on. This can result in multiple and sometimes contradictory conclusions about the assessment of the risk of an event.

We frequently get questions about how complexity management is different from risk management. Luckily, complexity management does not suffer from this problem of diversity of opinions! But…


Prediction on US GDP this quarter - lucky guess?

Posted on May 1, 2010 at 8:05pm 0 Comments

Based on latest data from BEA, BLS, Fed, Ontonix published an analysis early last week.

Here were the main conclusions (based on data up to 2009 Q4)

- This recovery is only marginally better than the last one in 2001

- This recovery seems to be Export driven where as the last one appeared to be Import driven

- There is still a lot of turbulence in the economy, in fact the amount of complexity (or turbulence) has increased nearly 75% since 2008 Q1

- Interest rates… Continue

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At 6:56pm on April 18, 2010, Boris Agranovich said…
I think this is already a big problem. In the ideal situation risk managers want to have a single reliable tool, but in the practice there are multiply tools per every silo risk and also within each silo risk there are multiply tools. I undertand also that every risk has its own properties and dynamics, therefore it is a very complicated task to get a cross-risk aggregation.
At 10:53pm on April 15, 2010, Boris Agranovich gave B.R. Deshpande a gift
Hi B.R. It’s great to have you here. Feel free to invite new people, participate in discussions, activities and share knowledge. If you've got a frog for a picture, hurry up and replace it!.

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