scenario (5)

Interview with Paul Emerson, Vice President, Asset Allocation, Risk Management at AllianceBernstein, L.P.

Operational risk management has moved beyond the simple calculation of capital requirements. Today operational risk managers need to have a proactive, holistic approach to operational risk to ensure they maintain their organizations’ profitability and reputation. Recent financial scandals have shown that operational risk could bring tremendous losses and not every firm is capable of recoverin

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Operational risk management has evolved from the simple calculation of capital requirements to a proactive, holistic approach. This new strategy ensures that operational risk managers maintain their organizations’ profitability and brand reputation. In fact, recent financial scandals revealed that operational risk can result in incredible losses that many organizations can sometimes never fully recover from.

According to Ger Jan Meijer, Director of Operational Risk Management for Citco Fund Servi

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What is scenario analysis to op risk people?

Over the last few days, several people have discussed various scenario analysis techniques with me and going on general opinion, this risk assessment technique is very popular among operational risk analysts. Definitely no doubt there, but what scenario analysis means to one analyst, can often be something entirely different to another.

What does scenario analysis really mean to operational risk analysts?

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 PRESENTATION at this address : http://causalcapital.blogspot.com/2011/06/scenario-analysis-for-operational-risk.html

 

There appears to be a resurgence across the region for scenario analysis.  This interest to quantify extreme events seems to be motivated in part as an outcome from some of the banks looking to move their operational risk systems to a more advanced approach in Basel II.
 
While Basel-III's predecessor Basel-II doesn't require any changes to a banks operational risk framework, some
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Note: This was posted on my blog a couple of months ago, but I just joined here, and I think the message still applies...

The Issue

If you've heard me speak at a conference oranother event recently, you likely heard me say that in many important areas no one can predict the future.
So if you don't know whatwill happen, how can you prepare for it? The solution to this dilemma is that you don't have to predict future events in order to prepare for them.
We have a recent example with the Eyjafjallajo
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