recession (5)

8028295685?profile=originalIn a recent poll, LogicManager found that among 78 senior executives, 70% believed their organization’s goals would be impacted by a recession and yet nearly sixty percent either did not have a plan or were unsure if a change management plan was in place to prepare.

Adequately preparing for change happening within and outside of a company is not a new goal. Yet many companies struggle with achieving it. So here’s something new: by incorporating change management into your enterprise risk manageme

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How to Prepare for Recession Risk with ERM

8028278091?profile=originalToday the economy is strong and your business is doing well. But are you prepared for when this strength turns to weakness? Enterprise risk management has been proven to help companies survive a recession.

While there is much debate over whether a recession is looming or not, the fact is, you need to be prepared. Whether in 2019, 2020, or 2021, it’s not a question of “if,” it’s a question of “when” a recession will occur, as history has proven that fluctuations in the economy are both inevitable

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The Risky Future of Oil

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Brent and WTI crude prices fell more than 6.4% to US$29.64 and US$29.57 a barrel respectively yesterday (25Jan2016) following a ~10% rise last Friday. Today’s price came up a little opening at US$29.79 but as usual, promising nothing out of the ordinary (Figure 1).

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                                               Figure 1: WTI Oil Price, 26-Jan-2016

No one expert knows exactly how much oil out there exceeds the global volumetric demand but all seem to agree that the entire world is drowning in it. T

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Small Business Credit Index Improves

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The Experian Moody's Analytics Small Business Credit Index has posted its forth consecutive quarterly improvement.
"The Experian/Moody’s Analytics Small Business Credit Index rose 1.2 points to 117 due to the growth of small-business credit balances. According to the Q4 2013 report, the increase marked the fourth consecutive quarter of improvement in small-business credit conditions and provided the highest index reading since data tracking began in 2011.
"Credit is flowing more freely to small bu
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How much have recent events affected our perception of risks? How much are insurance firms really using this to their advantage? 

Like so many people, I was riding on the tube this morning when a passing advert shocked me so much that I had to take a picture. People looked at me, a little bewildered and like my actions were odd. I am a risk manager and an econometrician. I like numbers and probabilities. These prices made little sense to me: this is because they arenonsense.

According to this adve

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