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Every economy tells a story. Some are tales of stability built on discipline and legitimacy. Others are cautionary sagas of volatility fueled by policy inconsistency and institutional decay. The Macroeconomic Fitness Matrix provides the narrative architecture to understand both.

This Strategic Framework was not created for the good times. It is built for inflection points. When global rules are breaking, institutions are wobbling, and economic fundamentals are under pressure, organizations and go

In a recent poll, LogicManager found that among 78 senior executives, 70% believed their organization’s goals would be impacted by a recession and yet nearly sixty percent either did not have a plan or were unsure if a change management plan was in place to prepare.

Adequately preparing for change happening within and outside of a company is not a new goal. Yet many companies struggle with achieving it. So here’s something new: by incorporating change management into your enterprise risk manageme

Today the economy is strong and your business is doing well. But are you prepared for when this strength turns to weakness? Enterprise risk management has been proven to help companies survive a recession.

Brent and WTI crude prices fell more than 6.4% to US$29.64 and US$29.57 a barrel respectively yesterday (25Jan2016) following a ~10% rise last Friday. Today’s price came up a little opening at US$29.79 but as usual, promising nothing out of the ordinary (Figure 1).

                                               Figure 1: WTI Oil Price, 26-Jan-2016

No one expert knows exactly how much oil out there exceeds the global volumetric demand but all seem to agree that the entire world is drowning in it. T

How much have recent events affected our perception of risks? How much are insurance firms really using this to their advantage? 

Like so many people, I was riding on the tube this morning when a passing advert shocked me so much that I had to take a picture. People looked at me, a little bewildered and like my actions were odd. I am a risk manager and an econometrician. I like numbers and probabilities. These prices made little sense to me: this is because they arenonsense.

According to this adve