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 PRESENTATION at this address : http://causalcapital.blogspot.com/2011/06/scenario-analysis-for-operational-risk.html

 

There appears to be a resurgence across the region for scenario analysis.  This interest to quantify extreme events seems to be motivated in part as an outcome from some of the banks looking to move their operational risk systems to a more advanced approach in Basel II.
 
While Basel-III's predecessor Basel-II doesn't require any changes to a banks operational risk framework, some
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Risk Leadership: Risk Reporting - The Need to Know

A question often asked is how broadly or how deeply do we need to design risk reporting in our risk management frameworks. Of course there is no easy answer. Let me give you a short anecdote before I give you my usual few dot points on the topic.

I was at a UNSW Australian School of Business "Meet the CEO" forum featuring David Thodey, CEO of Telstra late last year. David was asked what his greatest issue was in managing such a large organisa

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UK banks are hiding retail losses

Unbelievable but unfortunately it appears that UK banks are heading for another disaster and so soon after the recent credit crisis took grip of the country.

It was reported by the FSA that UK banks have been hiding distressed retail assets by forcing a restructure to the amount of 68% of their portfolio. This is serious, perhaps one of the most serious pieces of news I have read for the last six months and is right up there with the collapse of the US dollar. In this blog article we are going to

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Introduction

 

The death of Osama Bin Laden does not conclude the global threat of terrorism but in many instances it will trigger a new wave or business travel threats. If you want to know more on how the killing of Osama Bin Laden will affect business travel then you need to read this article. This article will identify the major delays, disruptions, risks and threats to business travel as a result of this high profile leader’s death. By the end of the article you will know the key issues affect

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Introduction

The 2011 Thailand elections will be an eventful few months for the country and businesses and travellers will be affected by the newest political climate change. If you want to know how business and travellers will be affected, then read on. In this article you will learn how recent events and the elections have affected business leaders viewpoints, travel and tourism, government agencies along with the what the next few months has in stall for everyone with exposure to Thailand. By

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Dear GlobalRisk Community member,

We’ve collected really useful resources such as guides, white papers, webinars and tools. Remember, you only have to enter your information ONCE... after that, just enter your email address and you can download as many as you want. Since some have limited availability, I recommend you download the ones you are interested in immediately. Please let us know what topics are of your most interest and we will deliver them to you.

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Clarity in discussions of risk

A couple of distinctions I would like to see more attention paid to, so that it is always clear what is being addressed;

 

1. Ex ante prediction of risk (e.g. the probabilities assigned to possible future results)

vs.

Ex post evaluation of past risk (i.e. the experienced impact of actual past outcomes or implementations).

 

2. The uncontrollable risk that each various aspect of the world (market) creates for you, given that you have put yourself in a particular situation (If I do all this, how can I e

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modeFinance will present its MORE philosophy and services for Credit Risk Evaluation during the “Corporate Credit Risk Event 2011” in Amsterdam on June 17th, 2011 (link). 
The title of the modeFinance’s speech will be “The theory and methodology behind the MORE rating and the MORE Credit Limit” in which every innovative aspects of the MORE Rating and MORE Credit limit will be analyzed.
The Corporate Credit Risk Event is organized by Bureau van Dijk in order to give an open view on the most modern
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While spreadsheets are still an excellent tool for data manipulation and one-dimensional analysis, they fall significantly short of delivering the capabilities a risk manager really needs to analyze trends and see the relationships the job entails.

The limitations of spreadsheets verses ERM software are systemic and largely stem from the way they manage data, their inability to easily show relationships, and their general inaccessibility.

Impractical

Risk management is an iterative process that req

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How banks and other financial firms can rebuild and measure the trust they've established with customers.

Building trust takes time. And when trust has been damaged, whether by real or perceived actions, companies must work harder and smarter to ensure they are taking every possible action to continually enhance the customer's trust. In this 1to1 Executive Dialogue, Don Peppers, Founding Partner at Peppers & Rogers Group, and MJ Crabbe-Barberis, a CRM expert who has led direct marketing strateg

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With House Committee passing a slew of rules on May 4, 2011 to postpone the implementation of derivatives section of the DFA by 18 months, Seila Bair’s decision to leave the FDIC on July 8, Geithner’s warning of a financial crisis if the legal debt limit is not raised, many are wondering if the U.S. economy is heading back into recession and will regulators be ready to prevent it.

 

These and other concerns were the main focus of the Regulatory Risk conference held in New York on May 9-10, 2011.  

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There are a lot of events and anecdotes that risk managers can draw lessons from. September 11, Hurricane Katrina,  the financial crisis and the Gulf oil spill are the among the most oft-repeated.

But Pat Huddleston, former enforcement branch chief of the SEC’s enforcement division, has written an excellent article that looks to more unique sources, showing how risk managers can prevent fraud by learning from Super Bowl-winning QB Tom Brady, NFL legend John Elway and an actor best known for his r

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Dear GlobalRisk Community member, On recent discussions, many of you noted that the most frustrating parts of a career transition is your resume. No matter how big of a career move you're looking to make, your resume has to convince the hiring manager you're up for the challenge. For those of you looking to increase your resume response rate and get more interviews, we are happy to share several exclusive benefits from Ivy Exec, our Career Support Partner. RESUME SUPPORT FOR CAREER TRANSITIONE
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The news on linkstates on May 10, 2011 that Profile Technologies, Inc. (OTC: PRTK) announced that it filed on May 9, 2011 for a voluntary petition for relief under Chapter 11 of the United States Bankruptcy Code ("Bankruptcy Code") in the United States Bankruptcy Court for the Eastern District of New York ("Bankruptcy Court").
In the following link you can see the modeFinance Credit Report of Profile Technologies Inc with assigned rating C
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Have you really got your companies operational risk framework in check? 


If you ask a risk analyst about their impression of their companies operational risk systems which, we have to admit is a relatively unframed question, it does seem to generate the typical responses that range between: We're totally sorted, It's kind of there and We are not really sure.

Very few people ask "is the operational risk process/system in check?"  

Then of course how do we know whether a company is good at measuring
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modeFinance Overview April 2011

Starting from today it is possible to download (link) the overview about all ratings evaluated by modeFinance during April 2011.
During this month modeFinance evaluted 403'974 companies in 98 countries.
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Managing oil prices is all about preserving margins - which airlines are doing it right?

In volatile commodity markets, a firms ability to profit comes down to one thing; the capability a business has to control the transference of market volatility to margin volatility.  In this article we are going to look at how rising oil prices seem to impact commodity consumers in alternate ways and why investors often misunderstand the impact rising commodity prices have on their investments.
Continue Readi
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In the wake of the financial crisis, banks are thinking more strategically than ever before about how to maximize value from their risk management programs. Risk Management has emerged as the clear choice for banks that want to gain a more advanced risk view and utilize the benefits of ERM to improve business performance in both the short and long term.Michael Fadil, SVP, Corporate Risk Management at SunTrust Bank is a speaker at the upcoming Enterprise Risk Management in the Banking Industry Co
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According to Wikipedia, “Best practices can also be defined as the most efficient (least amount of effort) and effective (best results) way of accomplishing a task, based on repeatable procedures that have proven themselves over time for large numbers of people.”

There are best practices for identifying and mitigating reputation risk in different types of companies as well as best practices for managing reputation as an asset. Please note that not every environment or every company is the same. Y

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